Causation

Amplified Impact of Monetary Finance with a Small Monetary Base

When a country's monetary base is small relative to its GDP, even monetary financing that appears modest as a percentage of GDP can lead to a massive expansion of the money supply. For instance, in Argentina, the monetary base averaged just under 7% of GDP and sometimes fell to 2%. In such a scenario, financing a deficit equal to 2% of GDP by creating new money would result in a 100% increase, or a doubling, of the monetary base in a single year.

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Updated 2025-09-16

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