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An Example of Exponentially Weighted Average

Assume we have a data series of temperature (blue dots), we could use the formula shown in the parent node to get an approximate trend. When β=0.9\beta=0.9, 11β=110.9=10\frac{1}{1-\beta} = \frac{1}{1-0.9} = 10 So we are averaging over about 10 days. When β=0.98\beta=0.98, 11β=110.98=50\frac{1}{1-\beta} = \frac{1}{1-0.98} = 50 So we are averaging over about 50 days. Thus we will get a smoother curve as shown below.

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Updated 2020-11-16

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Data Science