Causation

Central Bank's Mechanism to Halt Supply-Shock Inflation

To prevent inflation from accelerating after a negative supply shock, a central bank with an inflation-targeting mandate must eliminate the resulting positive bargaining gap. The policy mechanism to achieve this involves reducing aggregate demand. This contraction in demand leads to a fall in employment, which closes the bargaining gap and removes the underlying pressure for further price increases.

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Updated 2025-09-14

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