Formula

Derivation of the Inflation Rate from the Bargaining Gap

The inflation rate can be determined through a step-by-step derivation that links it directly to the bargaining gap. This process begins with the definition of inflation as the percentage increase in prices. In a simplified model where wages are the only production cost, this price increase is equivalent to the increase in costs, which in turn equals the percentage increase in wages. The model posits that the wage increase is determined by the bargaining gap. This entire causal chain is captured by the following formula: \begin{align*} \text{inflation (%)} &\equiv \text{increase in prices (%)} \\ &= \text{increase in costs per unit of output (%)} \\ &= \text{increase in wages (%)} \; (\text{if wages are the only costs}) \\ &= \text{bargaining gap (%)} \\ \pi_t &= \text{gap}_t \end{align*}

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Updated 2025-10-04

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