Causation

Effect of Low Unemployment on Worker Bargaining Power and the WS Curve

When unemployment is low, workers face a shorter expected duration of joblessness if they lose their current job. This reduces the cost of job loss, thereby strengthening their bargaining position. As a result, employers must offer higher wages to attract and retain employees. This dynamic is the underlying reason for the upward-sloping, convex shape of the wage-setting (WS) curve and the resulting Phillips curve trade-off between unemployment and inflation.

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Updated 2026-01-15

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