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Transition to a New Malthusian Equilibrium After a Technological Shock

A technological improvement that raises the average product of labor temporarily increases incomes above the subsistence level. For instance, after a productivity boost, 1,500 farmers might produce 600 kg of grain each, exceeding the 500 kg subsistence income. According to Malthusian theory, this surplus leads to population growth. As the population expands, the economy moves down along the new, higher average product curve due to diminishing returns. This adjustment continues until a new equilibrium is established at a larger population size where the average product has once again fallen to the subsistence level. In a graphical example, this new equilibrium is reached at point G, with 2,100 farmers each producing 500 kg of grain.

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Updated 2026-05-02

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