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Figure 4.20c: The Mechanism of Profit-Push Inflation

Figure 4.20c illustrates the mechanism of profit-push inflation following a negative supply shock, such as an increased markup that allows firms to increase prices by an additional 2%. This shock shifts the Phillips curve vertically upward by 2%. Consequently, the economy moves from its initial equilibrium at point A (3% inflation) to point D, where inflation is 5% despite employment remaining constant at N0N_0 and expected inflation remaining at 3%. This jump in inflation is driven by the behavior of firms and workers. At point B, firms have raised prices by 5%, but workers were only expecting a 3% increase. This discrepancy creates a 2% reduction in the real wage, corresponding to the gap between the wage-setting curve and the new, lower price-setting curve at the initial employment level. The figure also shows the new supply-side equilibrium at point C, located on the new, higher Phillips curve, where inflation would stabilize if employment were to fall to the new equilibrium level.

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Updated 2026-05-02

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