Short Answer

Suppose you are applying an interrupted time-series design with nonequivalent groups to study a shift reduction from 1010 to 88 hours at a manufacturing plant. If the treatment factory's productivity increases gradually over the year before the shift change and continues rising at the same rate afterward, while the control factory remains stable, can you conclude that the shift change caused the improvement? Briefly justify your answer in one to three sentences.

Question: Suppose you are applying an interrupted time-series design with nonequivalent groups to study a shift reduction from 1010 to 88 hours at a manufacturing plant. If the treatment factory's productivity increases gradually over the year before the shift change and continues rising at the same rate afterward, while the control factory remains stable, can you conclude that the shift change caused the improvement? Briefly justify your answer in one to three sentences.

Sample answer: No, you cannot conclude that the shift change caused the improvement. The productivity was already increasing at the same rate before the intervention, indicating that the improvement is likely due to an ongoing pre-existing trend rather than the shift reduction itself.

Key points:

  • State that the shift reduction cannot be concluded as the cause of the productivity improvement.
  • Justify this by identifying the pre-existing upward trend in productivity prior to the intervention.
  • Recognize that the rate of improvement did not change after the shift reduction.

Rubric: The student must state that a causal conclusion cannot be drawn and justify this by pointing out that the productivity increase began before the shift change and continued at the same rate, representing a pre-existing trend.

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Updated 2026-05-27

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Research Methods in Psychology - 4th American Edition @ KPU

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