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Sustainability of a Fixed Exchange Rate Depends on Commitment to Disinflation Costs

The experience of high-inflation countries like Argentina shows that while fixing an exchange rate can temporarily stabilize inflation, the policy's long-term success is not guaranteed. The sustainability of this 'cure' depends on the government's commitment to the fixed rate. This commitment is continuously tested by two main pressures: domestic political opposition due to the high costs imposed by the policy, such as recession and unemployment, and the behavior of global financial markets. Without the resolve to withstand these pressures, the benefits of a fixed exchange rate are likely to be short-lived.

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Updated 2025-10-03

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