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The Dynamics of Market Transformation

In many markets, an established technology can remain dominant even when a superior new technology is available, a situation often described as 'market lock-in.' This lock-in is reinforced by positive feedback loops (e.g., more users lead to better supporting infrastructure).

Imagine a government wants to transition the market from an established, polluting technology to a new, clean technology. Instead of a small incentive, they implement a very strong and sustained policy intervention (like a massive, permanent subsidy for the clean tech).

Analyze the causal chain of events through which such a strong policy can do more than just encourage adoption—it can completely eliminate the stable market position of the established technology. In your explanation, detail how the policy interacts with the positive feedback loops to drive the market towards a new, potentially irreversible, state dominated by the clean technology.

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Updated 2025-09-19

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