Multiple Choice

Two competing firms, Firm A and Firm B, must simultaneously decide whether to use a 'High Budget' or 'Low Budget' for their advertising campaigns. The table below shows the resulting profits for each firm based on their choices (in millions of dollars). The first number in each cell is the profit for Firm A, and the second is for Firm B. Both firms are rational and aim to maximize their own profit.

Firm B: High BudgetFirm B: Low Budget
Firm A: High Budget6, 43, 5
Firm A: Low Budget8, 22, 3

The CEO of Firm A receives conflicting advice from two strategists:

  • Strategist 1: 'You should choose 'Low Budget'. This is the only way you can possibly earn your highest potential profit of 8 million.'
  • Strategist 2: 'You should first figure out what Firm B is likely to do. You'll find they will always prefer a 'Low Budget' regardless of your choice. Based on that, your best move is to select 'High Budget'.'

Evaluate the two recommendations. Which strategist provides the most logically sound advice for Firm A?

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Updated 2025-08-04

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