Causation

Adverse Selection Leading to Price Spirals

In markets with adverse selection, such as insurance, a price spiral can occur. When an insurer cannot distinguish between high and low-risk customers, it might set a single, high price. This price can deter low-risk individuals, causing them to leave the market. As a result, the remaining customer pool consists of higher-risk individuals, which forces the insurer to raise prices further to cover the increased costs. This cycle of rising prices and a deteriorating risk pool can continue, potentially collapsing the market.

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Updated 2025-07-17

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