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Basins of Attraction in the Environmental Dynamics Model

In the environmental dynamics model with two stable equilibria (a high-ice 'virtuous' state at G and a low-ice 'vicious' state at B), the system's trajectory depends on its starting point relative to the unstable tipping point. Any point between the two stable equilibria will not remain static; from year to year, the sea ice cover will either increase towards the high-ice equilibrium at G or decrease towards the low-ice equilibrium at B, effectively being pulled into one of the two basins of attraction.

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Updated 2026-01-15

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