Case Study

Evaluating Investment Decisions in a Recession

A company is evaluating a new factory project. Initially, the central bank's policy rate is 3% and the company adds a 2% risk premium, resulting in a 5% discount rate for the project. An economic recession begins, and in response, the central bank lowers its policy rate to 1%. However, due to increased economic uncertainty, the company revises its risk premium for the project to 4%. Based on this information, what is the new discount rate for the project, and why might the company still decide against the investment, despite the central bank's significant rate cut?

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Updated 2025-09-18

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