Causation

Offsetting Effect of Risk Premiums on Investment During Recessions

During an economic recession, a central bank's decision to cut its policy rate may not effectively stimulate investment. This is because the perceived riskiness of investment projects can rise simultaneously, increasing the risk premium. This increase in the risk premium can offset the reduction in the policy rate, resulting in little to no change in the overall discount rate used by firms and thus limiting the intended boost to investment.

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Updated 2025-09-18

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