Case Study

Investment Response to Monetary Policy in a Recession

An economy enters a recession. Before the recession, the central bank's policy rate was 5% and the average risk premium required by lenders for new business investment projects was 3%. In response to the downturn, the central bank lowers its policy rate to 2%. However, due to heightened economic uncertainty, the average risk premium on new projects simultaneously rises to 6%. Based on this information, explain why the central bank's action is unlikely to lead to a significant increase in business investment. In your answer, calculate the effective borrowing cost for firms before and during the recession.

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Updated 2025-09-18

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