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Figure 7.20: UIP Predictions vs. Interest Rate Patterns in Spain and Denmark

Figure 7.20 presents data for pre-euro Spain and for Denmark to empirically test the predictions of Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP) by comparing their interest rates to their anchor economies (Germany and the Eurozone, respectively). The data for Denmark provides strong empirical evidence for the loss of monetary autonomy, showing its policy rate is 'pinned down' and tracks the ECB's policy rate very closely. The figure also provides the data for analyzing Spain's pre-euro interest and exchange rate movements in the context of the UIP model.

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Updated 2026-05-02

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