Concept

Findings from the real-time outbreak analysis: Estimating the asymptomatic proportion of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases on board the Diamond Princess cruise ship, Yokohama, Japan, 2020

The "posterior median estimate of the true proportion of asymptomatic individuals among the reported asymptomatic cases is 0.35 (95% credible interval (Crl): 0.30-0.39), with the estimated total number of the true asymptomatic cases at 113.3 (95% Crl: 98.2-128.3) and the estimated asymptomatic proportion (among all infected cases) at 17.9% (95% Crl: 15.5-20.2%)." Estimates of the true proportion of asymptomatic individuals were somewhat sensitive to changes in mean incubation period.

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Updated 2020-05-18

Tags

SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19)

Biomedical Sciences