Concept

Reproductive Number in China (January 10 2020 to January 24 2020: 2-fold approach)

Method: Statistical exponential growth model method adopting serial interval from SARS (mean = 8.4 days, SD = 3.8 days) and MERS (mean = 7.6 days, SD = 3.4 days)

Approaches: Corresponding to 2-fold increase in the reporting rateR0 = 1/M(−𝑟)𝑟 =intrinsic growth rateM = moment generating function

Estimated R0_0: 3.58 (95% CI 2.89 - 4.39)

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Updated 2020-04-24

Tags

SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19)

Biomedical Sciences