1Cademy - Reproductive Number in China (January 23 2020)

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Studies on COVID-19 Reproductive Number in China

Concept

Reproductive Number in China (January 23 2020)

Method: Mathematical model including compartments Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered-Death-Cumulative (SEIRDC). Approaches: $R = K^2(L \times D) + K(L + D) + 1$ , where $L$ = average latent period = 7, $D$ = average latent infectious period = 9, and $K$ = logarithmic growth rate of the case counts. Estimated $R_0$ : 4.08