Concept

Third-Variable Problem

The third-variable problem is a primary reason why correlational research cannot establish causality. It occurs when a statistical relationship between two variables, XX and YY, is not due to a direct causal link between them, but rather because some unmeasured third variable, ZZ, independently causes both. This creates a spurious correlation. For instance, a statistical relationship between exercise and happiness might exist simply because a third variable, such as overall physical health, simultaneously causes people to exercise more and feel happier.

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Updated 2026-05-03

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Research Methods in Psychology - 4th American Edition @ KPU

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