1Cademy - Projecting the Potential Impact of COVID-19 School Closures on Academic Achievement: Estimating the Relationship Between Summer Loss and Next Year’s Growth

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Projecting the Potential Impact of COVID-19 School Closures on Academic Achievement

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Projecting the Potential Impact of COVID-19 School Closures on Academic Achievement: Estimating the Relationship Between Summer Loss and Next Year’s Growth

Researchers examined the correlation between learning rates during the summer of 2018 and learning rates over the 2018-2019 school year (a typical school year) in order to gauge how students might recover from learning losses over the 2019-2020 year during the next year.
There was a negative correlation between students’ summer learning losses in 2018 and their academic growth in the 2018-2019 year, implying that students who lost more of their academic gains over the summer show steeper growth in the following academic year.
This further suggests that a student who experiences learning losses over the summer will not continue on a path of below-average academic gains throughout the school year, but will rather show higher gains during the school year than those who did not experience as large a loss over the summer.