Projecting the Potential Impact of COVID-19 School Closures on Academic Achievement: Possible Scenarios for Learning Gains during the 2019-2020 School Year
- Typical Growth: Students learn as in a typical year, with no effect from changes related to COVID-19.
- Partial absenteeism: Student learning is assumed to be comparable to being absent 50% of the time under normal circumstances.
- Full Absenteeism: Student learning is assumed to be comparable to being absent 100% of the time under normal circumstances.
- COVID Slide: School closures are assumed to be equivalent to starting summer break in March when schools were shut down due to COVID. Typical summer learning loss rates are applied to this longer timeline.
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