Comparison

Empirical Evidence on Union Bargaining and Unemployment

Empirical data from OECD countries reveals a paradox concerning the impact of trade unions on unemployment. Cross-country comparisons show no consistent positive correlation between the percentage of workers covered by collective bargaining and unemployment rates. This evidence contradicts the straightforward prediction from simple economic models that unions increase unemployment by pushing the wage-setting curve upwards. The observed data, therefore, indicates that this theoretical mechanism cannot be the complete explanation for the relationship between unions and unemployment, suggesting that other countervailing effects must be considered.

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Updated 2025-10-04

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